The Global Risk Podcast

This week, we assess Colombia’s new offensive against FARC dissident groups, Nicaragua’s move to bar opposition parties from elections, and Russia’s growing use of daytime strikes and faster drones against Kyiv. We also examine renewed US-Iran exchanges in the Strait of Hormuz, an attempted coup in Niger, Islamic State-aligned attacks complicating the Ebola response in the DRC, political tensions in Zambia, and the aftermath of severe flooding in Islamabad and Rawalpindi.
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Fighting has returned to Ethiopia's Tigray region after several years of relative calm. Intelligence Analyst Joshua George examines what's driving the escalation and the potential consequences for civilians and healthcare services if conflict intensifies.

This week, we assess insecurity in Haiti, protests in Bolivia, whether Russia is testing NATO’s resolve, and Iran’s shift towards a more offensive military posture. We also cover Guinea-Bissau’s constitutional referendum, tensions in Ethiopia, the resurgence of Somali piracy, fighting in the DRC, deadly flooding along the Nepal-Tibet border, attacks in southern Thailand, and planned demonstrations across Australia.
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A powerful El Niño could have consequences extending far beyond extreme weather. Intelligence Analyst Joshua George examines the potential impacts across Latin America and sub-Saharan Africa, including food insecurity, transport disruption, disease and civil unrest, and the steps organisations can take to prepare.

This week’s Global Intelligence Briefing examines Colombia’s decision to authorise joint military operations with the United States and what it could mean for militant activity. We also assess the prospect of further Russian strikes on Kyiv, growing tensions between Israel and Turkey over Syria, and what Iran’s declared shift to an offensive posture could mean for the US-Iran conflict.
Elsewhere, we cover wildfires in Greece, renewed fighting in Somalia, scaled-back US-South Korean military exercises, online radicalisation in the Philippines, and the aftermath of a magnitude 7.7 earthquake in Indonesia.
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Tensions between Saudi Arabia and the Houthis are escalating, with attacks on shipping, energy infrastructure and airports accompanied by renewed fighting inside Yemen. Senior Intelligence Analyst Julian Kett examines what's driving the escalation, why the Houthi threat is increasingly distinct from the wider US-Iran confrontation, and the triggers that could lead to a broader conflict.

This week's Global Intelligence Briefing examines the aftermath of Colombia's strongest earthquake in more than a century and Russia's campaign against Ukraine's Black Sea ports, which has effectively suspended commercial maritime traffic through Greater Odesa. We also assess a high-profile assassination and possible internal power struggle in Libya, stalled efforts to de-escalate southern Lebanon, expanding Israeli settler activity in the West Bank, and what could follow the end of the 60-day US-Iran truce period. Elsewhere, we look at escalating fighting in Yemen and the implications for Saudi Arabia, Indonesia's worsening wildfire season, and the prospect of further election-related unrest in Pakistan-administered Kashmir.
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US strategic attention is returning to Latin America, driven by migration, organised crime, energy security, critical minerals and growing competition with China. Intelligence Analyst Manfredi Pozzoli examines how US engagement is evolving and the political and security trends that could shape the region in the months ahead.

This week's Global Intelligence Briefing examines the growing Cyclospora outbreak linked to travel to Mexico, Cuba's worsening power crisis, and security concerns ahead of Colombia's presidential inauguration. We also assess the migrant surge into Ceuta, Ukraine's evolving strike campaign against Russia, the fragile pause between the United States and Iran, renewed fighting in Ethiopia's Tigray region, the worsening Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, a deadly terror attack in Pakistan, political violence in Bangladesh, and South Korea's record-breaking heatwave.
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Russia's long-range strike campaign against Ukraine has entered a new phase. In this episode, Senior Intelligence Analyst Julian Kett examines how systematic strikes, changing targeting patterns, and pressure on Ukraine's air defence capabilities are increasing risk in Ukrainian cities - and what this means for organisations operating in the country.