The Global Risk Podcast

Why Anti-Migrant Tensions Are Rising in South Africa | Regional Flashpoints

Anti-migrant protests and vigilante violence are increasing in South Africa amid growing economic pressure and rising social tensions. Joshua George examines what’s driving the unrest and where risks could increase next.

Global Intelligence Briefing | 7 May: How likely is a return to full-scale conflict with Iran?

This week’s Global Intelligence Briefing covers Ecuador’s expanding curfews amid rising gang violence, Bolivia’s nationwide strike, and planned transport disruption in Belgium. We also assess the US troop withdrawal from Germany, Romania’s government collapse, escalation risks in Ukraine around Victory Day, unrest in Turkey, renewed tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, Israeli strikes in Beirut, rising anti-migrant violence in South Africa, the assassination of a prominent religious scholar in Pakistan, and disruption caused by activity at Mayon Volcano in the Philippines.
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Travel Risks at the 2026 FIFA World Cup

The 2026 FIFA World Cup will bring millions of travellers across the US, Canada and Mexico. In this episode, Manfredi Pozzoli outlines the key risks - from crime and cyber threats to protest activity - and what they mean for those attending or operating around the event.

Global Intelligence Briefing | 30 April: What's driving the deadlock in the Strait of Hormuz?

This week’s Global Intelligence Briefing covers an attempted assassination targeting US President Donald Trump, cartel-related violence in Mexico following key arrests, and a major bombing in Colombia ahead of elections. We also assess Ukraine’s continued strikes on Russian energy infrastructure, the growing deadlock in the Strait of Hormuz, a major militant offensive in Mali, protest risks in Chad, renewed attacks in northeastern Nigeria, a spike in piracy off Somalia, and renewed clashes between Afghanistan and Pakistan.
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Understanding Climate Security Risks and Preparedness Gaps

Climate-linked disasters are becoming harder to predict and manage. In this episode, intelligence analyst Joshua George examines how gaps in preparedness, infrastructure and response are increasing operational and security risk.

Global Intelligence Briefing | 23 April: What’s behind the US decision to extend the Iran ceasefire?

This week’s Global Intelligence Briefing covers delays in Peru’s presidential election and rising protest risks, Bulgaria’s parliamentary elections, and Ukraine’s defence against intensified Russian offensives. We also assess the US extension of the Iran ceasefire, rising tensions in Ethiopia’s Tigray region, protest risks in Kenya linked to fuel prices, a major earthquake in Japan and associated megaquake warnings, and the growing likelihood of El Niño in the Philippines and its potential regional impact.
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Global Intelligence Briefing | 16 April: What does the Algeria attack suggest about IS activity?

This week’s Global Intelligence Briefing covers Cuba’s worsening infrastructure crisis, Hungary’s election outcome, and the continued challenges of ceasefires in Ukraine. We also assess school shootings in Turkey, the fragile US–Iran ceasefire, a suspected Islamic State-linked attack in Algeria, labour unrest in northern India, and the early emergence of a high-intensity typhoon in the North Pacific.Delivery supported by AI.

Istanbul Consulate Attack and Diplomatic Security Risks | Regional Flashpoints

An attack on the Israeli consulate in Istanbul has renewed concern over the threat to Israeli diplomatic personnel and linked sites abroad. Manfredi Pozzoli explains what happened and why it matters. 

Global Intelligence Briefing | 9 April: How stable is the US–Iran ceasefire?

This week’s Global Intelligence Briefing covers an elevated Iranian threat environment in the United States, Hungary’s highly contested elections, and Ukraine’s expanding drone campaign. We also assess the attack on the Israeli consulate in Istanbul, the stability of the US–Iran ceasefire, continued Israeli operations in Lebanon, evolving risks across the Gulf, protest risks in Benin, unrest in India’s Manipur state, and disruption expected during Thailand’s Songkran festival.
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Global Intelligence Briefing | 2 April: How likely are further attacks on infrastructure in the Gulf?

This week’s Global Intelligence Briefing covers mass killings in Haiti driven by gang competition, Ukraine’s expanded strikes on Russian energy infrastructure, and rising tensions between the United States and Iran. We also assess threats to critical infrastructure across the Gulf, the Houthis’ entry into the conflict, political instability in Somalia, and protest risks in Nepal following the arrest of a former prime minister.
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