The Global Risk Podcast

Global Intelligence Briefing | 9 April: How stable is the US–Iran ceasefire?

This week’s Global Intelligence Briefing covers an elevated Iranian threat environment in the United States, Hungary’s highly contested elections, and Ukraine’s expanding drone campaign. We also assess the attack on the Israeli consulate in Istanbul, the stability of the US–Iran ceasefire, continued Israeli operations in Lebanon, evolving risks across the Gulf, protest risks in Benin, unrest in India’s Manipur state, and disruption expected during Thailand’s Songkran festival.
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Global Intelligence Briefing | 2 April: How likely are further attacks on infrastructure in the Gulf?

This week’s Global Intelligence Briefing covers mass killings in Haiti driven by gang competition, Ukraine’s expanded strikes on Russian energy infrastructure, and rising tensions between the United States and Iran. We also assess threats to critical infrastructure across the Gulf, the Houthis’ entry into the conflict, political instability in Somalia, and protest risks in Nepal following the arrest of a former prime minister.
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Iran Conflict Escalation Risks and Trigger Points | Regional Flashpoints

Uncertainty remains around Iran, with escalation risks and stalled diplomacy still in play. Meanwhile in Nigeria, coordinated suicide bombings in Maiduguri point to a potential resurgence in militant activity.

Global Intelligence Briefing | 26 March: What Does the Hormuz Disruption Mean for Asia-Pacific?

This week’s Global Intelligence Briefing covers large-scale protests in the United States, Ecuador’s anti-cartel operations, and a series of likely state-backed attacks targeting Jewish communities in Europe. We also assess Russia’s largest drone strike campaign in Ukraine, escalating Israeli operations in Lebanon, threats to critical infrastructure across the Gulf, rising tensions between Chad and Sudan, continued fighting in eastern DRC, the likely collapse of the Pakistan–Afghanistan ceasefire, the impact of the Strait of Hormuz disruption on Asia-Pacific, and new national security measures in Hong Kong.
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Global Intelligence Briefing | 19 March: Is Cuba Entering Its Most Severe Crisis in Decades?

This week’s Global Intelligence Briefing covers Cuba’s deepening economic crisis and rising unrest risk, Ecuador’s expanded security operations, planned protests in Albania, growing pressure on Ukraine’s air defences, Israeli strikes targeting Iranian leadership and infrastructure, escalating attacks across the Gulf, renewed jihadist violence in Nigeria, the post-election outlook in the Republic of the Congo, a Pakistani airstrike in Kabul, and the expected impact of Cyclone Narelle in Australia.
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Iran Conflict: The Rise of Second-Order Threats | Regional Flashpoints

The impact of the Iran conflict is being felt far beyond the region, with rising threats across Europe and North America. Meanwhile, a new US–Ecuador operation signals a shift in counter-cartel strategy in Latin America.

Global Intelligence Briefing | 12 March: Is Iran Shifting Toward Economic and Infrastructure Warfare?

This week’s Global Intelligence Briefing covers attacks targeting US diplomatic offices linked to the Iran conflict, a joint US–Ecuador anti-cartel operation, and civilian casualties from anti-gang drone strikes in Haiti. We also assess Ukrainian counterattacks, the appointment of Iran’s new Supreme Leader, Iranian attacks across the Gulf, Israel’s mobilisation along the Lebanon border, rising militant activity in the Sahel, protest risks in Guinea, and the evolving war between Pakistan and the Afghan Taliban.
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Global Intelligence Briefing | 5 March: Is the US Prepared for a Prolonged War with Iran?

This week’s Global Intelligence Briefing covers the increased terrorism threat in the United States following the outbreak of war with Iran, nationwide Bolsonaro rallies in Brazil, Ukrainian frontline advances, US-Israeli strikes on Iran and the resulting regional conflict, Israeli operations in Lebanon, Iranian attacks across the Gulf, Pakistan’s open conflict with the Afghan Taliban, and Shia protests across South Asia.
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Global Intelligence Briefing | 26 February: Is the US Preparing for Imminent Strikes on Iran?

This week’s Global Intelligence Briefing covers cartel-related violence in Mexico following the death of a senior leader, a deadly maritime incident between Cuba and a Florida-registered vessel, intensified Russian strikes on Ukrainian rail infrastructure, indications of potential US strike preparations against Iran, Pakistani airstrikes in Afghanistan, and rising election tensions in Nepal.
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Global Intelligence Briefing | 19 February: Can Bangladesh’s New Government Deliver Stability?

This week’s Global Intelligence Briefing covers labour unrest in Argentina, escalating avalanche risks across the Alps, ongoing protests in Bosnia and Herzegovina, stalled Ukraine peace talks, rising US–Iran tensions amid an expanded US military posture, a social media ban in Gabon, and the post-election stability outlook in Bangladesh.
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