The Global Risk Podcast

Inside Cuba’s Deepening Economic and Fuel Crisis | Regional Flashpoints

Cuba faces a deepening fuel and economic crisis, while military movements near Ethiopia’s Tigray region raise the risk of renewed conflict involving Eritrea. Our analysts break down the implications in this edition of Regional Flashpoints.

Global Intelligence Briefing | 12 February: Can Haiti’s New Security Force Contain Gang Violence?

This week’s Global Intelligence Briefing covers Cuba’s worsening fuel crisis, Haiti’s political transition and security restructuring, protests linked to Italy’s Winter Olympics, ongoing Ukraine–Russia negotiations alongside continued strikes, indirect US–Iran talks in Oman, rising Ethiopia–Eritrea tensions, a deadly Islamic State-aligned attack in Islamabad, and unrest risks surrounding Bangladesh’s elections.
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Global Intelligence Briefing | 5 February: Is Cuba Facing Its Biggest Crisis Since the Cold War?

This week’s Global Intelligence Briefing covers the US declaration of a national emergency over Cuba, record Russian missile strikes on Ukraine, direct US–Iran talks amid heightened military posturing, an Islamic State-linked attack on Niamey airport, mass-casualty Boko Haram violence in Nigeria, renewed clashes in Ethiopia’s Tigray region, and coordinated militant attacks in Pakistan’s Balochistan province.
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Assessing the Regional Risk Amid US–Iran Tensions | Regional Flashpoints

Our intelligence team unpacks the strategic signals behind US–Iran military dynamics and what a failed attack near Niger’s capital means for regional risk.

Global Intelligence Briefing | 29 January: Can US–Russia–Ukraine Talks Deliver Any Breakthrough?

This week’s Global Intelligence Briefing covers worsening fuel shortages and nationwide blackouts in Cuba, the first US–Russia–Ukraine trilateral talks since 2022, a disrupted Islamic State-linked plot in Azerbaijan, heightened US–Iran tensions following a major carrier deployment, escalating conflict risks in South Sudan, and new Nipah virus screening measures affecting travel across Asia-Pacific.
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Global Intelligence Briefing | 22 January: Is Russia Exploiting Transatlantic Divisions to Pressure Ukraine?

This week’s Global Intelligence Briefing covers devastating wildfires in Chile, Russia’s energy strikes on Ukraine amid diplomatic manoeuvring, major shifts in northeast Syria, continued unrest in Iran alongside a strengthened US military posture, deadly flooding across southern Africa, an ISKP attack targeting Chinese nationals in Kabul, and heightened insurgent threats in southern Thailand ahead of elections.
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Could Uganda’s Vote Trigger Wider Instability? | Regional Flashpoints

Following Uganda’s general election, concerns are mounting over violence, protests and the integrity of the vote. Joshua George outlines the latest developments and the risks ahead.

Global Intelligence Briefing | 15 January: Is the US Preparing for Military Action Against Iran?

This week’s Global Intelligence Briefing covers US policy constraints on Venezuela, renewed protest risks in Bolivia, Russia’s missile strikes and energy attacks on Ukraine, uncertainty around the Gaza peace process, rising tensions between the US and Iran, election-related unrest in Uganda and Myanmar, and coordinated insurgent attacks in Thailand’s Deep South.
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Global Intelligence Briefing | 8 January: What Does the US Capture of Maduro Mean for Venezuela’s Future?

This week’s Global Intelligence Briefing covers the US operation that captured Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, nationwide fuel protests in Bolivia, sabotage of power infrastructure in Germany, new security guarantees proposed for Ukraine, shifting alliances in Yemen, widespread unrest in Iran, election-related crackdowns in Uganda, and a surge in Chinese cyberattacks targeting Taiwan.
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Global Intelligence Briefing | 18 December: What Does the Bondi Beach Attack Signal for Terror Risk in the West?

This week’s Global Intelligence Briefing covers escalating violence in Guatemala, election-related unrest risks in Honduras, and the United States’ de facto blockade on Venezuelan oil exports. We also assess disrupted terror plots in Europe, Ukraine peace talks, mass protests in Romania, an ISIS attack on US personnel in Syria, renewed fighting between Thailand and Cambodia, and a deadly terrorist attack in Australia.
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